Housing market shows renewed confidence

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Waipā’s growth story is being reshaped by lifestyle migration, Hamilton’s spillover and changing build economics, creating fresh opportunities across the local housing market, reports Mary Anne Gill. 

Cutting the ribbon to open the new office is, from left Simon and Dominique Paduch and Waipā deputy mayor Jo Davies-Colley. Photo: Mary Anne Gill

Stabilising build costs, rising buyer inquiry and sustained lifestyle migration are combining to lift confidence in the housing market, according to Simon Paduch, franchise owner of G.J. Gardner Homes Waipā. 

Speaking at the official opening of the company’s new Cambridge office, Paduch said the region was emerging from a market “reset” following the postCovid slowdown, rather than a collapse in demand. 

After a period of rapidly rising interest rates and construction costs that stalled activity nationwide, conditions have begun to rebalance, making previously marginal projects viable again. 

Maria Van Der Merwe, Lylie Morrison, Dawn Harper and Jacinda Johnston at the GJ Gardner Waipā office opening.

“Build costs have stabilised significantly.” 

Annual cost increases of around 14 percent seen several years ago have eased to closer to two to three percent, translating into renewed momentum. 

“Projects which didn’t stack up 12 to 18 months ago are starting to become viable again.” 

Demand for housing in Waipā had not disappeared during the downturn but had instead been deferred while households waited for costs and interest rates to settle. 

“The housing market didn’t actually crash. It paused.” 

Ryan Nicholas (Architectural Technician), Simon Paduch (Franchise Owner), Marie Jones (Administrator), Dominique Paduch (Franchise Owner), Sara Bryers (New Homes Consultant), Paul Adams (Estimator), Blu Geddes (Construction Manager)

That pentup demand is now beginning to surface, with buyer inquiry and online search activity trending upwards. Online searches for property in Cambridge rose by more than 50 percent in February and last month, while searches for Te Awamutu increased by more than 40 percent. 

The strongest demand is coming from households aged between 30 and 49, typically families seeking more space, lifestyle improvements or relocating from larger centres. Price expectations remain consistent, with most demand sitting between $700,000 and $1.25 million. 

Consent data reinforces that preference, with more than 90 percent of new homes being built in Waipā being standalone dwellings. 

“That reflects the type of community people want here.” 

While demand is strengthening, the central challenge is whether housing can be delivered quickly enough and at the right price. 

Three key drivers are underpinning growth: lifestyle migration attracted by schools and community character; Hamilton’s continued expansion pushing demand into surrounding districts; and a strong development pipeline across the wider Waikato. 

Guests enjoyed a well presented brunch

“One of the best indicators of future housing demand isn’t house prices – it’s what developers are planning.” 

Builders are beginning to see opportunity reemerge in new homes for relocating families, minor dwellings and smallscale development. Minor dwellings are attracting interest following planning rule changes that have reduced consenting barriers. 

Smallscale development is also gaining traction, particularly on larger Cambridge sections, though Paduch said preserving the town’s character would be critical. 

Waipā remains early in its growth cycle, underpinned by population growth, infrastructure investment and longterm demand for its lifestyle offering. 

“We’re incredibly optimistic about the future of Waipā.” 

That confidence is reflected in the company’s performance, with 20 build contracts signed locally within its first eight months of operation. 

As growth accelerates, balancing development with liveability will be key.

Cutting the ribbon to open the new office is, from left Simon and Dominique Paduch with Cambridge Chamber chief executive Kelly Bouzaid. Photo: Mary Anne Gill

 

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About Author

Putāruru-born Mary Anne Gill is one of New Zealand’s most experienced writers. She has won several national writing awards for business, rural, sport and breaking news including three times at the Qantas and twice at the Voyager media awards.